Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005328 0.005891 0.006502 0.007215 0.008027 0.008926 0.010002
2025-07-27 0.004369 0.005131 0.006022 0.007148 0.008547 0.010243 0.012481
2025-08-03 0.003850 0.004703 0.005749 0.007144 0.008984 0.011363 0.014738
2025-08-10 0.003449 0.004341 0.005479 0.007063 0.009254 0.012243 0.016749
2025-08-17 0.003186 0.004115 0.005341 0.007111 0.009669 0.013332 0.019177
2025-08-24 0.002929 0.003866 0.005137 0.007032 0.009873 0.014120 0.021250
2025-08-31 0.002672 0.003590 0.004864 0.006817 0.009838 0.014523 0.022749
2025-09-07 0.002508 0.003430 0.004738 0.006798 0.010087 0.015383 0.025124
2025-09-14 0.002429 0.003382 0.004768 0.007012 0.010719 0.016934 0.028962
2025-09-21 0.002271 0.003206 0.004591 0.006881 0.010765 0.017487 0.031040
2025-09-28 0.002129 0.003043 0.004420 0.006743 0.010780 0.017980 0.033072
2025-10-05 0.002032 0.002942 0.004337 0.006739 0.011023 0.018911 0.036155
2025-10-12 0.001969 0.002895 0.004342 0.006896 0.011592 0.020575 0.041253
2025-10-19 0.001866 0.002777 0.004225 0.006833 0.011754 0.021480 0.044886
2025-10-26 0.001784 0.002687 0.004147 0.006829 0.012024 0.022636 0.049382
2025-11-02 0.001696 0.002582 0.004035 0.006753 0.012139 0.023479 0.053295
2025-11-09 0.001636 0.002520 0.003992 0.006798 0.012504 0.024919 0.059151
2025-11-16 0.001562 0.002428 0.003890 0.006724 0.012609 0.025786 0.063657
2025-11-23 0.001472 0.002307 0.003728 0.006520 0.012418 0.025929 0.066096
2025-11-30 0.001418 0.002242 0.003664 0.006502 0.012627 0.027071 0.071907
2025-12-07 0.001399 0.002238 0.003709 0.006705 0.013349 0.029613 0.083048
2025-12-14 0.001336 0.002152 0.003598 0.006580 0.013311 0.030181 0.087704
2025-12-21 0.001276 0.002070 0.003488 0.006450 0.013244 0.030669 0.092246